Election
US-China Economic Relations in a Biden Administration
Before the new administration takes office, we may well see further US actions on China during the transition that will be hard to reverse. The Trump Administration has invested great effort to reorient US China policy and may try to lock in its approach that sees the Chinese Communist Party as a grave threat. Actions…
Contribution Limits in Georgia U.S. Senate Run-Off Elections
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Anticipated Changes on Energy / Environmental Policies
Energy, climate, and environment are areas where the policy differences resulting from the final outcome of the election also will be particularly stark. On November 4, 2020, President Trump took the final step consummating his pledge to withdraw the United States from the Paris Climate Agreement. This reflects his early and consistent perspective, embodied in…
Trade Issues On The Front Burner
Trump’s trade policy in a second term would basically be more of the same: he would continue hard bargaining with China and other trade partners, including by threatening tariffs under various provisions of U.S. trade law. President Trump would try to build on the Phase 1 trade agreement with China and would continue his hostility…
National Security Policy and Investment in a Biden Administration and Divided Congress
As we navigate a presidential transition over the coming months, what should we expect in terms of continuity and change when it comes to national security priorities and investments?
Regarding policy priorities, there will be several areas of continuity with the Trump administration, with some adjustments to how they are pursued. These include: prioritizing the…
The Chances for Immigration Reform
With Republicans favored to clinch retention of the Senate Majority by winning two of three remaining Senate races in Georgia and Alaska, a comprehensive immigration reform bill probably will not gain significant traction in the Senate in the next two years, even if the Democratic-controlled House decides to move such a bill. In the event…
Looking Ahead on Healthcare and Pharmaceutical Issues
The Affordable Care Act (ACA) has been an issue in every Congress since it was enacted in 2010 and this next Congress will be no different. There are so many health care issues that need to be debated—a national vs state pandemic strategy; funding for testing; additional relief for health care providers; surprise billing; treatment…
A Crystal Ball On Economic Stimulus
Starting with COVID-19 relief, both former Vice President Biden and President Trump have embraced the need for another COVID-19 economic stimulus package.
A Biden administration would likely pursue “high-multiplier” policies that funnel money to people and businesses that need it and are likely to spend it, thereby helping funds circulate through the economy quickly to…
Outlook for Tax Legislation
Vice President Biden campaigned on a number of tax proposals:
- Raise the corporate rate from 21% to 28% “on day one”
- Increase the Global Intangible Low Taxed Income rate from 10.5% to 21%
- Create a new corporate alternative minimum rate of 15% on financial statement income over $100 million
- Increase the top individual rate and
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